When I think of Sweden, what comes to mind is a big
government welfare state, with higher priority being given to economic security
than to economic freedom. I was therefore surprised when I saw the Heritage Foundation data
reproduced in the accompanying graph, which shows that economic freedom in
Sweden is now higher in the United States and Australia. I expect that many readers
would be similarly surprised.
The substantial decline which the graph shows for
economic freedom in the U.S. and Australia since 2020 is presumably associated
with government policies restricting freedom during the Covid19 pandemic.
However, economic freedom in Sweden has apparently maintained an upward trend
during that period.
In order to come to grips with this new information I
thought it might be helpful to consider alternative economic freedom estimates
and to take a look at the components of the Heritage Foundation’s economic
freedom estimates.
Comparison of Heritage and Fraser estimates
Some of those
who feel uncomfortable with the idea that people may now have more economic
freedom in Sweden than in the U. S. and Australia might obtain some solace from
the fact that the latest economic
freedom estimates of the Fraser Institute has Sweden
(in 33rd place) ranked far behind both Australia (6th)
and the U.S. (7th). Some of the differences between the Heritage
and Fraser estimates may be attributable to timing. The Heritage estimates for
2023 are based as far as possible on data for June 30, 2022, whereas the latest
available Fraser estimates are for 2020. However, there are also differences in
the aspects of economic freedom covered by the indexes. For example, the
Heritage estimates incorporate Fiscal Health (deficits and debt) which is an
aspect of economic management not incorporated in the Fraser estimates.
I was not surprised to see Sweden ranked first in the Fraser
Institute’s index of personal freedom, well ahead
of Australia (17th) and the U.S. (33rd). The Human Freedom
index (which combines economic freedom and personal freedom) has Sweden ranked 6th,
ahead of Australia (11th) and the U.S. (23rd).
Comparison of scores on various aspects of
economic freedom
The comparison of scores on the accompanying graph indicate that aspects in which Sweden performs relatively well, by comparison with Australia and the U.S. are fiscal health and government integrity. As might be expected from Sweden’s welfare state reputation, the aspects on which Sweden performs relatively poorly include tax burden and government spending.
Conclusion
The answer to the question I posed at the outset
depends on which economic freedom index one looks at. The Heritage Foundation’s
index clearly has people enjoying greater economic freedom in Sweden than in
the U.S. and Australia, but that finding is not confirmed by the Fraser
Institute’s index. Whatever Sweden’s current ranking relative to the U.S. and
Australia, it is worth pondering how Sweden has managed to maintain relatively
high levels of economic and personal freedom, despite having a large welfare
state. At this stage, there is not much evidence that Sweden is in grave danger
of sliding down the slippery slope to serfdom.
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