One way to approach this question is to rule out those kinds
of government that are least likely to enable people to live lives that they
value.
We can begin by ruling out those kinds of government that
exercise absolute power in a cruel and oppressive way. There is no need to
explain why that kind of despotism is inimical to human flourishing.
If you ask yourself how we can avoid being ruled by a cruel
and oppressive despot you will probably begin to sketch out some constitutional
rules requiring fair elections and preventing concentrations of power in a few
hands. There is a fair chance that the constitutional rules you specify would describe
liberal democracy. So far so good.
However, some written constitutions that appear to embody
ideals of liberal democracy end up as a façade for oppressive government. So, I
have to ask myself why some experiments in liberal democracy been more
successful than others.
Before I can attempt to answer that I need to explain what I
have previously described as democracy’s basic problem – which could also be described
as the tragedy of democracy because of its similarity to the tragedy of the
commons (see my preceding post). Democracy’s basic problem arises because of
inherent tendencies for the responsibilities of elected governments to expand beyond
their capacity to cope. That results from a combination of two factors. First,
the perceived benefits to individual voters of proposals for an expansion of
government responsibilities in areas of particular interest to them exceed the
additional costs they incur as a result of those proposals. Second, when an individual
elector sees others declaring their support for political parties which promise
additional spending or regulation in their particular fields of interest, it is
natural for her to feel that her interests will likewise be better served by
behaving similarly. (Democracy’s basic problem is further explained in Chapter
8 of Free to Flourish.)
Democracy’s basic problem could be expected to result in an
ongoing expansion of government spending, an increasing regulatory burden
constraining growth in productivity, higher tax rates on those least able to
protect themselves politically (e.g. foreign investors) with adverse effects on
investment incentives, and expanding fiscal deficits with public debt growing
beyond the capacity of the government to service it.
Those trends obviously can’t continue indefinitely. At some
stage, the government’s bankers will refuse to advance additional credit. That
means that funds will no longer be available to fund social services or to pay
government employees. Civil disorder is likely to ensue. It is open to
speculation who the main characters will be in the next act, as the political theatre
turns into a democratic tragedy. Voters may resort to electing demagogues whose
policies will cause further deterioration in the economy. In the final act it
is quite common for the generals to take over the reins of government to
restore order.
Thus, on the basis of that reasoning it might appear that democracy
is unlikely to be a sustainable form of government over the longer term.
So, how come some democracies have survived for well over a
century?
One possible explanation, which could be described as the
Schumpeterian explanation, after the economist Joseph Schumpeter, is that this
has been achieved by constraining democracy to ensure that “the effective range
of political decision should not be extended too far”. (Again, there is more
discussion of this in Chapter 8 of Free to Flourish.)
Another possible explanation (not adequately discussed in Free to Flourish) is that the culture of
some countries has fostered normative conditions that have prevented
democracy’s basic problem from emerging with irresistible force. In his book, Why I, too, am not a conservative, James Buchanan identified two norms
that underpin liberal democracy:
·
that a sufficient proportion of the population can
make their own choices and prefer to be autonomous rather than dependent on
others; and
·
that a sufficient proportion of the population
enter relationships with others on the basis of reciprocity, fair dealing and
mutual respect.
The first norm needs to be met for people to be able to cast
their votes to achieve outcomes that they prefer, whilst exercising restraint
in the demands that they make on others through the political process. The
second norm needs to be met to ensure that those who depend on transfers from
the public purse do not consider those transfers to reflect successful
exploitation of others through the political process, and that those whose tax
payments fund those transfers do not consider themselves to be exploited.
Buchanan concluded:
“Generalized or widespread failure of persons to adhere to
these norms, along with widespread recognition that others also disregard the
standards, will insure that the liberal order itself must fail, quite
independently from any institutional safeguards.” (p 28)
As early as the 1830s, Alexis de Tocqueville expressed similar
concerns in Democracy in America about
the implications for democracy of the emergence of a culture of dependence on
government. In his discussion of the
“sort of despotism that democratic nations have to fear” he suggested that democratic
governments might take upon themselves full responsibility for the happiness of
citizens, reducing each nation “to be nothing better than a flock of timid and
industrious animals, of which the government is the shepherd”. Tocqueville remarked:
“It is indeed, difficult to conceive how men who have
entirely given up the habit of self-government should succeed in making a
proper choice of those by whom they are to be governed; and no one will ever
believe that a liberal, wise, and energetic government can spring from the
suffrages of a subservient people. … The vices of rulers and the ineptitude of
the people would speedily bring about its ruin … ” See: Democracy in America, Book 4, Chapter 6.
Tocqueville doesn’t seem to have mentioned norms of reciprocity
(or even adherence to the golden rule) explicitly as one of the factors that
had led to maintenance of democracy in America, but he emphasised the
importance of “the manners and customs of the people” and “the whole moral and
intellectual condition of a people”.
Vincent Ostrom commented as follows:
“In light of the meaning to be assigned to the manner and
customs of the people, we can understand why Tocqueville identified religion as
the first of their political institutions even though religion took no
direct part in the government of society. The place of religion was important
to the whole moral and intellectual tradition of a people when complemented by
the place of families, friends, neighbors, and schooling in the shaping of what
might be called "habits of the heart and mind." The place of habits
of the heart and mind is critical to the possibility that societies of men
might establish systems of governance appropriate to
the exercise of reflection and choice as ways of coping with problems of conflict
and conflict resolution.” Vincent Ostrom, The Meaning of Democracy and the Vulnerability of Democracies, p
14.
Most readers will probably have gathered by now that I think
that adherence to the norms that underpin liberal democracy has now diminished
to such an extent that this form of government is in deep trouble, even in the
western countries where it has been sustained most successfully in the past.
So, we are faced with an ongoing struggle to avoid a democratic tragedy, with
adverse implications for human flourishing.
However, such prognostications don’t help us much in answering
the question I began with. The best way to move toward an answer, it now seems
to me, is to follow the lead of Vincent Ostrom and to ask what forms of
governance are likely to emerge when it recognized that each person “is first
his or her own governor and is then responsible for fashioning mutually
productive relationships with others” (p 84).
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