It is difficult to believe that there could be less economic
freedom in the United States than in Australia, but that is what economic
freedom indexes seem to show.
The Heritage Foundation’s index currently has Australia in 3rd
place, behind Singapore and Hong Kong, and the US in 10th place. The
Fraser Institute’s index currently has Australia in 5th place and
the US in 18th place.
Both the Heritage Foundation and the Fraser Institute have economic
freedom in the US declining below that of Australia around 2008. See Figures 1 and 2 below.
The timing of the decline in US economic freedom as
indicated by the Heritage Foundation’s index suggests that it may be largely associated
with the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis, but the Fraser Institute’s
index has the decline beginning around the turn of the century. According to
the Heritage index the main decline in recent years has been with respect to financial
and investment regulation, but the Fraser index also shows a decline in other
areas, including freedom to trade internationally.
If the decline in US economic freedom was related solely to
re-regulation of financial markets, it might be tempting to dismiss it as some
kind of necessary evil. Well, it isn’t, but that will not stop me from suggesting
that financial re-regulation has been far from benign in any case. Rather than
side-track myself on that issue, however, I will just link to a highly relevant recent article by Ken Rogoff.
There are several reasons why Australians should not take comfort
from indexes suggesting that we now have greater economic freedom that the US. The
most obvious is that it has occurred as a result of a decline in economic
freedom in the US, rather than any recent reform efforts in Australia.
The second reason is because the measurement of economic
freedom is difficult. I think the Fraser Institute and Heritage Foundation
should be applauded for their efforts to define economic freedom precisely
enough to enable it to be measured, but I don’t think their indicators
adequately capture all relevant aspects of the regulatory environment. For
example, in 2008, just before he left Australia, Phil Burgess made some important points about
the regulatory environment in this country that would be difficult to capture adequately
in economic freedom indexes.
Before I
proceed further, I should remind you that Phil Burgess was one of the ‘three
amigos’ who came here to help Telstra through a difficult period. If that doesn’t
ring any bells, you might remember the very wise - and very public – investment
advice he gave to his mother about not buying Telstra shares because of what
the government was then doing to squeeze profit out of that company, not long
after selling it to gullible investors.
The comment
that Burgess made concerns the degree to which the ‘public order’ tends to
dominate the ‘civic order’ in Australia. What he was talking about was
that, compared with other liberal democracies, government leaders in Australia
have a very high capacity to frame and control the public dialogue by virtue of
agenda setting, money and expectations management. Counterbalancing voices of
legitimacy and authority in the civic order – including business - are, by contrast,
often muted and ineffectual. He
suggests that is associated with a greater tendency for the civic leadership
groups to play an insider’s game and focus on influencing politicians.
I think Phil
Burgess is probably correct in his judgement, but I don’t have sufficient knowledge of the
US to be sure. If he is correct, it would be fair to say that economic freedom
indexes tend to over-state the extent of economic freedom in Australia relative
to the US.
My third
reason for not taking comfort from indexes showing economic freedom higher in Australia than in the US is that public attitudes are still more supportive of economic freedom
in the US than in Australia. Data from the World Values Survey suggests that Americans
are more strongly in favour of the existence of large income disparities
as incentives (i.e. less in favour
of redistribution to make incomes more equal), less in favour of public ownership of business, somewhat
more inclined to say that competition is good and less cynical on the question
of whether success comes from luck and connections rather than hard work.
All that suggests to me that it would not make sense to bet
my life savings that the economic freedom will be greater in Australia than in the
US over the next few decades. The only problem is that my modest life savings
are actually almost exclusively allocated towards investment in Australia. It
might be time for a re-think!
2 comments:
Interesting post, Winton. May respond after I have had time to absorb it properly.
Thanks Jim. I hope you do respond.
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